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This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.

FEBRUARY 2004 KEY POINTS

Trend

The trend estimate for sales of total new motor vehicles rose by 0.1% to 77,590 in February 2004 compared with January 2004. This increase follows a five month period of decline in the trend estimate for new motor vehicle sales.

The trend estimate for sales of passenger vehicles has declined over the last six months, while the trend estimate for the sales of other vehicles has increased over the same period.

Sales of total new motor vehicles recorded growth in the trend estimate of 6.5% for February 2004 compared with February 2003. The trend estimate for sales of passenger vehicles increased by 1.9% and for other vehicles increased by 14.9% over the same period.

Seasonally adjusted

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of total new motor vehicles for February 2004 increased by 1.0% compared with January 2004 and by 11.3% compared with February 2003.

The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of passenger vehicles increased by 2.1% in February 2004 compared with January 2004. The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of other vehicles decreased by 0.8% over the same period.


NOTES


TREND REVISIONS

Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information see Explanatory Notes 9 and 10.

The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.

Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales

		Passenger vehicles (No.)	Other vehicles (No.)	Total vehicles (No.)	Change Passenger vehicles (%)	Change Other vehicles (%)	Change Total vehicles (%)
Original
2002	December	45,317	22,656	67,973	-4.0	-6.9	-5.0
2003	January	40,015	21,155	61,170	-11.7	-6.6	-10.0
	February	43,677	23,058	66,735	9.2	9.0	9.1
	March	49,921	26,192	76,113	14.3	13.6	14.1
	April	44,602	24,263	68,865	-10.7	-7.4	-9.5
	May	49,646	28,616	78,262	11.3	17.9	13.6
	June	57,086	34,972	92,058	15.0	22.2	17.6
	July	51,450	28,071	79,521	-9.9	-19.7	-13.6
	August	49,869	26,304	76,173	-3.1	-6.3	-4.2
	September	51,749	26,042	77,791	3.8	-1.0	2.1
	October	52,180	27,045	79,225	0.8	3.9	1.8
	November	48,482	27,630	76,112	-7.1	2.2	-3.9
	December	49,834	27,952	77,786	2.8	1.2	2.2
2004	January	40,715	24,082	64,797	-18.3	-13.8	-16.7
	February	47,876	28,001	75,877	17.6	16.3	17.1
Seasonally Adjusted
2002	December	42,610	22,110	64,720	-7.4	-8.9	-7.9
2003	January	47,008	25,656	72,664	10.3	16.0	12.3
	February	46,847	24,889	71,736	-0.3	-3.0	-1.3
	March	48,285	25,671	73,956	3.1	3.1	3.1
	April	48,969	26,225	75,194	1.4	2.2	1.7
	May	50,033	26,822	76,855	2.2	2.3	2.2
	June	50,331	27,260	77,591	0.6	1.6	1.0
	July	49,888	27,749	77,637	-0.9	1.8	0.1
	August	51,283	27,272	78,555	2.8	-1.7	1.2
	September	53,212	27,612	80,824	3.8	1.2	2.9
	October	49,218	27,688	76,906	-7.5	0.3	-4.8
	November	48,390	28,274	76,664	-1.7	2.1	-0.3
	December	46,099	27,046	73,145	-4.7	-4.3	-4.6
2004	January	49,199	29,829	79,028	6.7	10.3	8.0
	February	50,255	29,582	79,837	2.1	-0.8	1.0
Trend
2002	December	46,332	24,876	71,208	0.8	0.6	0.8
2003	January	46,847	25,082	71,929	1.1	0.8	1.0
	February	47,481	25,401	72,882	1.4	1.3	1.3
	March	48,151	25,818	73,969	1.4	1.6	1.5
	April	48,852	26,259	75,111	1.5	1.7	1.5
	May	49,631	26,690	76,321	1.6	1.6	1.6
	June	50,471	27,120	77,591	1.7	1.6	1.7
	July	51,105	27,456	78,561	1.3	1.2	1.3
	August	51,282	27,662	78,944	0.3	0.8	0.5
	September	50,963	27,794	78,757	-0.6	0.5	-0.2
	October	50,338	27,961	78,299	-1.2	0.6	-0.6
	November	49,629	28,207	77,836	-1.4	0.9	-0.6
	December	49,034	28,520	77,554	-1.2	1.1	-0.4
2004	January	48,656	28,852	77,508	-0.8	1.2	-0.1
	February	48,394	29,196	77,590	-0.5	1.2	0.1

		NSW (No.)	Vic. (No.)	Qld (No.)	SA (No.)	WA (No.)	Tas. (No.)	NT (No.)	ACT (No.)	Aust. (No.)
Original
2002	December	21,741	19,706	12,672	4,531	5,989	1,584	585	1,165	67,973
2003	January	20,648	16,490	11,632	3,988	5,762	1,025	534	1,091	61,170
	February	21,965	18,152	12,956	4,754	6,164	1,069	582	1,093	66,735
	March	25,541	20,408	14,843	5,147	6,917	1,218	769	1,270	76,113
	April	23,588	18,368	13,386	4,507	5,948	1,177	728	1,163	68,865
	May	26,259	21,053	14,967	5,273	7,127	1,454	789	1,340	78,262
	June	31,168	24,132	18,084	6,089	8,662	1,549	866	1,508	92,058
	July	26,983	21,248	15,716	5,298	6,973	1,407	635	1,261	79,521
	August	25,391	19,799	15,248	5,263	7,048	1,589	555	1,280	76,173
	September	25,738	21,200	15,293	5,222	6,894	1,639	593	1,212	77,791
	October	25,533	21,337	15,521	5,430	7,487	2,008	607	1,302	79,225
	November	25,099	20,254	15,058	5,214	6,925	1,717	630	1,215	76,112
	December	25,113	21,071	15,265	5,404	7,161	1,860	593	1,319	77,786
2004	January	21,216	16,857	13,403	4,334	6,249	1,193	498	1,047	64,797
	February	24,955	19,727	15,901	5,059	7,113	1,297	686	1,139	75,877
Seasonally Adjusted
2002	December	20,980	18,635	12,198	4,326	5,722	1,096	630	1,133	64,720
2003	January	24,546	19,730	13,756	4,848	6,583	1,302	661	1,238	72,664
	February	24,079	19,487	13,658	4,973	6,440	1,272	658	1,169	71,736
	March	24,555	20,081	14,512	4,973	6,589	1,320	696	1,230	73,956
	April	25,639	20,206	14,522	5,080	6,413	1,381	695	1,258	75,194
	May	25,696	20,772	14,840	5,113	7,041	1,426	678	1,289	76,855
	June	26,009	21,064	14,639	5,117	7,295	1,493	665	1,309	77,591
	July	25,757	20,782	15,391	5,203	7,135	1,474	647	1,248	77,637
	August	26,395	20,485	15,686	5,342	7,184	1,581	604	1,278	78,555
	September	27,331	21,208	15,958	5,404	7,324	1,618	679	1,302	80,824
	October	24,651	20,102	15,646	5,337	7,277	1,993	632	1,268	76,906
	November	24,807	20,339	15,620	5,266	7,108	1,647	640	1,237	76,664
	December	23,933	19,740	14,359	5,106	6,880	1,271	626	1,230	73,145
2004	January	26,153	20,643	16,221	5,328	7,283	1,546	623	1,231	79,028
	February	26,519	20,822	16,602	5,216	7,177	1,534	762	1,205	79,837
Trend
2002	December	24,079	19,469	13,558	4,637	6,386	1,262	636	1,181	71,208
2003	January	24,279	19,619	13,709	4,760	6,438	1,276	655	1,193	71,929
	February	24,556	19,829	13,936	4,879	6,502	1,299	671	1,210	72,882
	March	24,866	20,078	14,198	4,980	6,602	1,332	681	1,232	73,969
	April	25,200	20,329	14,481	5,060	6,739	1,366	682	1,254	75,111
	May	25,594	20,566	14,771	5,125	6,903	1,410	678	1,274	76,321
	June	26,028	20,785	15,082	5,188	7,067	1,478	669	1,294	77,591
	July	26,341	20,915	15,347	5,245	7,190	1,556	660	1,307	78,561
	August	26,403	20,917	15,500	5,292	7,248	1,624	650	1,310	78,944
	September	26,239	20,817	15,553	5,312	7,237	1,657	642	1,300	78,757
	October	25,978	20,684	15,561	5,306	7,192	1,653	640	1,285	78,299
	November	25,727	20,569	15,572	5,283	7,157	1,621	643	1,264	77,836
	December	25,561	20,491	15,638	5,257	7,137	1,574	652	1,244	77,554
2004	January	25,513	20,453	15,759	5,235	7,130	1,528	665	1,225	77,508
	February	25,521	20,450	15,913	5,213	7,125	1,484	679	1,205	77,590